Profile Steel Price Forecast for 1405: Three Market Scenarios

Profile Price Forecast in ۱۴۰۵ | Last data review: ۱۴۰۵/۰۶/۰۹

A review of Ahantime’s daily prices shows that the profile market is not uniform; the type of sheet and the product’s application create a significant price difference. Assuming continued inflation and exchange-rate volatility, the median scenario in this analysis indicates ۱۵ to ۳۵ percent growth compared with each product’s baseline price. This figure is not a market prediction; it is a scenario test to assist purchase planning.

Profile Market Baseline Price on Ahantime

We extracted the table below from the quotable rows on the daily profile price page. Prices are in tomans and per kilogram, excluding value-added tax, and correspond to the date shown in the rows, یعنی ۱۴۰۵/۰۶/۰۸.

These three prices should not be directly compared; the sheet material, coating, dimensions, and applications are different. The purpose of the table is to show the actual gap between product groups, not to introduce the cheapest option.

۹۰-day price trend for Isfahan ۴۰×۴۰ profile, thickness ۲ (tomans/kilogram)

Source: Ahantime; from ۱۲ Khordad to ۷ Shahrivar ۱۴۰۵

Three Profile Price Forecast Scenarios in ۱۴۰۵

For example, applying the median scenario to the baseline prices produces the following:

Method for Calculating the Profile Price Forecast in ۱۴۰۵

This article does not provide a statistical model or a buying signal. We first used each product’s current price as the baseline and then applied three sensitivity coefficients to it. To select a scenario, we assess four variables: the exchange rate, sheet and billet prices, energy restrictions, and demand strength.

At the time of review, Ahantime’s iron market pulse section displayed the dollar at ۲۰۶٬۰۱۰ tomans and steel billet at ۷۱٬۷۵۰ tomans. These figures are merely a snapshot of that moment and may change. For an actual decision, the currency and billet market page and the product price should be checked again.

What Factors Change the Price Path?

Dollar and Steel Sheet

An increase in the exchange rate raises the replacement value of inventory and export appeal. On the other hand, most hollow profiles are made from sheet, and a change in the steel sheet price is directly related to production costs. However, a recession can delay the transfer of this increase to the consumer market.

Energy and Supply

Electricity or gas restrictions can reduce the production of billet, sheet, and profile. The World Bank’s commodity market reports also identify energy and supply disruptions as major risks in ۲۰۲۶.

Inflation and Actual Demand

Wages, transportation, taxes, and financing affect the delivered price. International Monetary Fund data on Iran also indicate high inflation in ۲۰۲۶. In contrast, a construction recession can reduce the pace of growth in selling prices.

When Should We Buy Profile?

• Immediate use: Procure the project’s confirmed needs; downtime costs may exceed a potential price decline.
• Multi-month project: Divide the order into several stages in line with the consumption schedule.
• Investment purchase: Also calculate the cost of tied-up capital, storage, quality deterioration, and the difference between the buying and selling rates.

Compare pro forma invoices only when the dimensions, thickness, piece length, actual weight, mill, taxes, delivery location, and price validity period are the same.

Final Order Price

Goods value = Total order weight × Price per kilogram

Add taxes, transportation, loading, unloading, and cutting or packaging services separately. Use the iron products weight calculator to verify the weight. The correct comparison criterion is the amount the seller delivers at the project site.

Summary of the Profile Price Forecast in ۱۴۰۵

Based on the current data, a volatile growth scenario appears more likely than a sustained decline; however, the range for each product must be calculated from its own price. The advantage of staged purchasing is that it reduces the risk of choosing an unsuitable point in time. Before placing an order, check the current rate, actual weight, and delivery cost again.